Boeing forecasts demand for 2.1 million new commercial aviation personnel and enhanced training 
July 25, 2022
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  • Boeing’s 2022 Pilot and Technician Outlook (PTO) forecasts demand for 2.1 million new aviation personnel over the next 20 years to safely support the recovery in commercial air travel and meet rising long-term growth.   

    The long-term forecast shows that 602,000 pilots, 610,000 maintenance technicians and 899,000 cabin crew members will be needed to support the global commercial fleet over the next two decades. The worldwide fleet is expected to nearly double and grow to 47,080 airplanes by 2041, according to Boeing’s recently released Commercial Market Outlook. 

    This year’s PTO represents a 3.4 percent increase from 2021, excluding the Russia region, which is not forecast in this year’s PTO due to sanctions that prohibit exports of aircraft manufactured in western countries and market uncertainty. China, Europe and North America represent over half of the total new personnel demand. The fastest growing regions are Africa, Southeast Asia and South Asia, with all three regions expected to grow more than 4 percent over the forecast period. 

    “As the commercial aviation industry recovers from the pandemic and plans for long-term growth, we anticipate a steady and increasing demand for aviation personnel, as well as the ongoing need for highly effective training,” said Chris Broom, vice president, Commercial Training Solutions, Boeing Global Services. “Our customer-centric approach and digital expertise includes a commitment to delivering data driven, competency-based training and assessment solutions as well as technologies that meet the evolving needs of our customers.” 

    New digital solutions to enhance the efficacy and efficiency of training would include immersive learning experiences and virtual learning platforms. 

    Projected demand for new pilots, technicians and cabin crew by global region for the next 20 years is approximately: 

    Region             New Pilots      New Technicians        New Cabin Crew 

    Africa              20,000             21,000                         26,000 

    China              126,000           124,000                       162,000 

    Europe             122,000           120,000                       207,000 

    Latin America 35,000             35,000                         48,000 

    Middle East     53,000             50,000                         99,000 

    North America128,000           134,000                       173,000 

    Northeast Asia 22,000             24,000                         38,000 

    Oceania           9,000               10,000                         18,000 

    South Asia      37,000             34,000                         43,000 

    Southeast Asia 50,000             58,000                         85,000